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Issue #16

5 August 2026

Editor's Note

Meta is the headline this week. The company has raised its 2026 capex forecast three times this year and is now guiding to $130-145 billion, roughly double what it spent in 2025. The market did not take it well. Free cash flow fell from $8.5 billion to $784 million in a single year and investors are openly questioning whether the returns will justify the spending. Zuckerberg's answer on the earnings call was essentially that he believes in the bet. That may be true, but it is the first time we have seen a hyperscaler face real public scrutiny over AI infrastructure spending and it will not be the last.

The xAI story in Memphis is also one to read in full this week. A fourth data center confirmed in the same city where the illegal gas turbine controversy is still unresolved. And Samsung's floating data center moving from concept into engineering phase is a quiet but significant development. When a company of that size starts doing real engineering work on something, it usually ends up getting built.

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